Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | FIU -110 LT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -3.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -2.6 (-2.4) | 142.2 (+14.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -3.5 (-1.5) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -2.1 (-2.9) | 144.3 (+12.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -2.0 (-3.0) | 144.4 (+12.6) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FIU 84 – 76 LT |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FIU 77 – 64 LT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LT 82 – 71 FIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | LT 81 – 64 FIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LT 75 – 68 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#220) | 0.8 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#201) | -0.14 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#219) | -0.23 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#237) | 0.487 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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