Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -800 CSUB +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +24 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.9 (+15.1) | 128.7 (-2.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.4 (+14.6) | 125.4 (+0.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.5 (+14.5) | 127.8 (-1.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.2 (+14.8) | 127.6 (-1.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 59.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#97) | -6.5 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#110) | -1.29 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#106) | -1.43 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.430 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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