Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | ALCN -140 TXSO +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -2.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -3.7 (-7.7) | 142.3 (-14.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -2.9 (-6.9) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -3.5 (-7.5) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -3.4 (-7.4) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TXSO 92 – 87 ALCN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TXSO 72 – 71 ALCN |
| Mar 4, 2025 | TXSO 75 – 59 ALCN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TXSO 66 – 57 ALCN |
| Mar 5, 2024 | ALCN 82 – 79 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 10-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#266) | -8.2 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#171) | -1.73 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#179) | -2.04 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#142) | 0.442 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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