Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | IOWA -190 OSU +158 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -1.2 (-5.2) | 152.1 (-10.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -2.0 (-6.0) | 149.4 (-7.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -1.3 (-5.3) | 154.4 (-12.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -1.4 (-5.4) | 154.2 (-12.2) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | OSU 72 – 69 IOWA |
| Feb 26, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 OSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | IOWA 77 – 70 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | OSU 82 – 65 IOWA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OSU 90 – 78 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#32) | 10.3 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#44) | 0.96 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#43) | 1.61 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#77) | 0.505 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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