Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | CSUF +100 HAW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -0.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -0.2 (+2.2) | 129.1 (-7.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -0.5 (+1.5) | 128.8 (-6.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -0.0 (+2.0) | 129.2 (-7.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -0.2 (+1.8) | 129.0 (-7.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HAW 78 – 63 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2026 | HAW 87 – 85 CSUF |
| Dec 7, 2025 | HAW 69 – 59 CSUF |
| Feb 2, 2025 | HAW 82 – 57 CSUF |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAW 95 – 86 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 62.0 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#126) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#138) | 0.44 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#143) | 0.80 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#123) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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