Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–19 on winners spread MAE 10.3 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware @ Temple +2.7 149.1 56% 74–75 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Florida Gulf Coast +7.8 141.6 77% 71–90 ✓
LSU @ Wake Forest -9.1 144.9 21% 75–61 ✓
Kansas City @ Morehead State -0.4 135.5 46% 62–70 ✗
Marshall @ Indiana +16.2 146.4 88% 79–90 ✓
Sacramento State @ Arizona +24.8 145.7 91% 59–105 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Washington State +18.6 156.1 89% 76–71 ✗
UC Irvine @ Santa Clara +7.9 140.0 77% 69–64 ✗
Idaho @ North Dakota State +12.6 139.2 87% 73–90 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Marquette +10.6 138.7 86% 66–80 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah State +19.4 144.6 90% 61–80 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Tech -5.3 147.3 28% 87–70 ✓
BYU @ Utah +8.8 137.6 78% 75–64 ✗
Winthrop @ Washington +4.8 154.1 68% 82–74 ✗
St. Thomas @ Seattle U +4.7 151.4 68% 64–81 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Loyola Marymount +7.6 142.6 77% 80–83 ✓
North Texas @ Drake +6.8 131.0 75% 57–54 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Seton Hall +22.8 139.7 91% 70–84 ✓
Troy @ Florida +15.8 138.7 88% 45–84 ✓
North Florida @ Florida International +8.5 130.1 78% 69–84 ✓
Kansas @ Iona -3.1 147.7 37% 96–83 ✓
Merrimack @ Boston University +12.8 129.1 86% 60–61 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Montana State +7.4 157.8 77% 68–75 ✓
Fordham @ Central Connecticut -5.9 138.6 27% 89–83 ✓
Stony Brook @ Yale +11.6 141.6 85% 85–81 ✗
Western Michigan @ SE Louisiana +0.9 144.4 54% 81–77 ✗
The Citadel @ South Carolina State -6.2 157.5 25% 91–79 ✓
Alcorn State @ Milwaukee -1.6 133.8 41% 61–57 ✓
Evansville @ Eastern Illinois -1.2 129.9 40% 70–54 ✓
James Madison @ Florida Atlantic +2.4 148.8 51% 69–65 ✗
American University @ Duquesne +7.7 143.4 77% 79–88 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Fairfield +10.1 140.9 82% 75–70 ✗
Rider @ South Carolina +14.2 139.5 87% 58–65 ✓
Siena @ Bucknell +7.9 145.3 79% 56–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ DePaul +9.8 158.1 81% 63–101 ✓
Chicago State @ Bowling Green +3.1 144.3 62% 57–75 ✓
Southern @ Tennessee State +0.5 139.7 47% 82–80 ✗
UL Monroe @ SMU +14.3 155.6 86% 67–74 ✓
Portland @ Incarnate Word -6.4 136.4 25% 77–68 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Arkansas +13.4 151.1 86% 60–76 ✓
Dayton @ Belmont +6.8 144.7 78% 63–61 ✗
Kansas City @ Arkansas State -4.5 137.0 29% 55–66 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Princeton +15.1 142.9 88% 79–89 ✓
Dartmouth @ Bryant +2.2 142.2 56% 63–61 ✗
Wofford @ Georgia +0.2 143.3 45% 68–65 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State -7.7 148.7 22% 72–68 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Kennesaw State +9.8 149.1 82% 52–89 ✓
Brown @ Quinnipiac +4.8 141.8 62% 72–61 ✗
North Alabama @ Alabama State +7.5 144.1 77% 81–69 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Radford -0.1 136.0 46% 75–88 ✗
North Dakota @ Kansas State +9.6 143.9 79% 42–84 ✓
Villanova @ La Salle -14.1 147.6 14% 72–46 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ San Diego +16.6 133.2 88% 56–52 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.4 146.1 80% 78–85 ✓
Miami @ Alabama +8.5 154.4 81% 64–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.