Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -1.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -3.2 (+0.2) | 142.0 (-9.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.2 (-3.2) | 143.3 (-10.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -0.7 (-2.3) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -1.3 (-1.7) | 141.4 (-8.4) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-13 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#235) | 5.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#240) | 0.48 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#211) | 0.97 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#192) | 0.527 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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