Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | KC -0.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -0.7 (+7.3) | 130.2 (+1.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -0.4 (+8.4) | 135.5 (-3.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -0.4 (+8.4) | 135.1 (-3.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -0.8 (+8.8) | 131.9 (+0.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#113) | 4.3 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#115) | 1.76 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#103) | 2.79 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#85) | 0.624 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 26.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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