Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -11.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.5 (-17.5) | 138.6 (+0.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.8 (-19.8) | 137.6 (+1.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -9.4 (-20.4) | 137.2 (+1.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.9 (-18.9) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BYU 91 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 11, 2026 | BYU 89 – 84 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | BYU 85 – 74 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 72 BYU |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UTAH 73 – 69 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#25) | 7.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#24) | 1.91 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.06 (#20) | 3.00 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.683 (#8) | 0.651 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 46.4 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 40.6% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 39.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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