All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Ocean Bank Convocation Center · November 28, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FIU -5.0 Home covered
O/U 138.0 Over
Money FIU -210 / UNF +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +15 153 Won
Massey FIU -11.1 (+3.9) — —
Massey Totals — 124.2 (+28.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FIU -7.0 (+8.0) 135.8 (+17.2) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FIU -8.5 (+6.5) 130.1 (+22.9) 78% ✓
Baseline ML FIU -9.2 (+5.8) 130.0 (+23.0) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FIU -10.9 (+4.1) 131.0 (+22.0) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 12, 2020 UNF 80 – 77 FIU

Game Analysis

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