Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -4.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -7.1 (+10.1) | 149.7 (+7.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -5.2 (+8.2) | 148.3 (+8.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -5.0 (+8.0) | 150.9 (+6.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -6.3 (+9.3) | 154.2 (+2.8) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | FIU 84 – 69 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#257) | 4.3 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#305) | 1.71 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.47 (#299) | 2.25 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#247) | 0.694 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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