Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -3.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -5.6 (+12.4) | 144.6 (-12.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -3.1 (+14.9) | 144.3 (-12.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.8 (+14.2) | 145.3 (-13.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.5 (+14.5) | 146.8 (-14.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | BGSU 76 – 55 CHST |
| Nov 7, 2023 | BGSU 70 – 41 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#314) | -5.0 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#272) | -0.56 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#240) | -0.95 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#319) | 0.424 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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