Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -6500 CHST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +21 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -24.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -19.9 (+1.1) | 147.3 (-16.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -21.8 (-0.8) | 146.2 (-15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -25.1 (-4.1) | 146.0 (-15.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -25.1 (-4.1) | 145.4 (-14.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | BGSU 70 – 41 CHST |
| Nov 28, 2021 | BGSU 75 – 57 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#76) | -12.2 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#132) | -2.08 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#110) | -2.48 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#121) | 0.448 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 59.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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