Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -8.1 (-5.1) | 142.0 (+21.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -8.4 (-5.4) | 143.8 (+19.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -7.6 (-4.6) | 142.6 (+20.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -9.0 (-6.0) | 139.6 (+23.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | LMU 76 – 75 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#254) | -8.6 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#211) | -1.67 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#201) | -2.18 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#116) | 0.506 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 55.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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