Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -4000 PV +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -13.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -11.9 (-10.9) | 152.3 (-1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -12.9 (-11.9) | 148.3 (+2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -12.1 (-11.1) | 153.0 (-2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -12.4 (-11.4) | 152.5 (-1.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | LMU 83 – 80 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 3-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#220) | -12.6 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#149) | -3.08 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#149) | -4.18 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#111) | 0.371 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 61.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 55.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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