Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.4 (-1.4) | 142.3 (+6.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.7 (-1.7) | 149.1 (-0.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.3 (-1.3) | 150.4 (-1.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.9 (-0.9) | 148.2 (+0.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#218) | 0.9 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#244) | 1.40 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#238) | 1.68 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#243) | 0.593 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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