Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -4.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.7 (-12.7) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -4.8 (-15.8) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -4.0 (-15.0) | 142.0 (-9.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -4.2 (-15.2) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#296) | -5.1 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#232) | -2.14 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#245) | -3.70 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#301) | 0.419 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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