Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | SEA -560 STMN +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -2.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -2.5 (+14.5) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.7 (+12.3) | 151.4 (-6.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -5.0 (+12.0) | 151.6 (-6.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.0 (+11.0) | 147.9 (-2.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 18, 2026 | SEA 67 – 52 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 17-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#133) | 6.4 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#159) | 0.08 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#169) | 0.17 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#229) | 0.418 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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