Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -142 STMN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -1.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.3 (+13.7) | 138.4 (-19.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -2.3 (+12.7) | 135.0 (-16.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.9 (+13.1) | 135.7 (-16.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.3 (+12.7) | 139.4 (-20.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | SEA 81 – 64 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#118) | 4.5 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#120) | 0.30 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#110) | 0.70 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#144) | 0.533 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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