Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -21.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -15.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -15.9 (-1.9) | 139.9 (+6.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -10.6 (+3.4) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -11.9 (+2.1) | 137.7 (+8.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.7 (+0.3) | 138.1 (+7.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | MARQ 92 – 70 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#148) | -7.9 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#54) | -0.63 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#88) | -0.80 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#10) | 0.456 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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