Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +13 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -6.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.4 (-8.6) | 147.5 (+31.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.1 (-9.9) | 147.7 (+31.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.9 (-10.1) | 147.1 (+31.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.2 (-8.8) | 149.0 (+30.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-0 | 19-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#88) | 11.6 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#28) | 0.67 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#41) | 3.52 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#34) | 0.520 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.