Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +450 CIT -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +12 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -7.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -6.2 (-5.8) | 157.5 (+12.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -5.9 (-6.1) | 159.4 (+10.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -7.3 (-4.7) | 161.8 (+8.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -7.4 (-4.6) | 158.5 (+11.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2021 | SCST 74 – 57 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#340) | 2.8 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#353) | 0.77 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.46 (#352) | 0.97 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.277 (#357) | 0.619 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 9.6% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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