Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
| Money | CIT -700 SCST +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +17 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -18.0 (-35.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -12.4 (-29.4) | 157.3 (-26.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -12.9 (-29.9) | 158.9 (-27.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -13.0 (-30.0) | 157.1 (-26.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -13.9 (-30.9) | 158.5 (-27.5) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | CIT 91 – 79 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#143) | -12.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#146) | -1.78 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#157) | -3.28 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#146) | 0.400 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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