Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -15.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -13.3 (-6.3) | 152.2 (-11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -14.3 (-7.3) | 155.6 (-14.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -13.2 (-6.2) | 154.0 (-13.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -13.8 (-6.8) | 151.7 (-10.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | SMU 70 – 57 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 17-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#189) | -9.4 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#278) | -0.28 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#270) | -0.49 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#334) | 0.508 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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