Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +16 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | EVAN -0.6 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -4.3 (-11.7) | 132.1 (-8.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -1.2 (-14.8) | 129.9 (-5.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -1.0 (-15.0) | 131.4 (-7.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -3.2 (-12.8) | 130.2 (-6.2) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2020 | EVAN 68 – 65 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 2-16 |
| Home | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Away | 1-16 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 58.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#354) | -8.9 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.15 (#357) | -2.80 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.47 (#353) | -4.07 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.308 (#352) | 0.363 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.1% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.1% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 25.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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