Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +135 EIU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -3.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -0.5 (+2.5) | 141.4 (-8.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -1.0 (+2.0) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -1.4 (+1.6) | 143.4 (-10.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -0.4 (+2.6) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | EVAN 70 – 54 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#254) | -3.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#275) | -0.23 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#267) | -0.33 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.330 (#276) | 0.474 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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