Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +26 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | VILL -20.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -14.2 (-11.8) | 139.0 (-21.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -11.5 (-14.5) | 146.3 (-28.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -11.8 (-14.2) | 146.0 (-28.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -12.5 (-13.5) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | VILL 70 – 55 LAS |
| Nov 7, 2022 | VILL 81 – 68 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 10-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 62.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#278) | 14.7 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#316) | 1.89 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#329) | 4.00 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#298) | 0.601 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 43.7% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 2.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 9.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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