Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +600 VILL -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +15 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | VILL -5.1 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -7.8 (-7.2) | 140.4 (-15.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -2.4 (-12.6) | 142.8 (-17.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -2.7 (-12.3) | 145.1 (-20.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -5.0 (-10.0) | 142.5 (-17.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2022 | VILL 81 – 68 LAS |
| Nov 28, 2021 | VILL 72 – 46 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#206) | 9.9 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#264) | 0.18 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#289) | 0.40 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#261) | 0.532 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 47.1% |
| FT Rate | 36.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.