Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -28.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -19.8 (-5.8) | 138.2 (+15.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -22.8 (-8.8) | 139.7 (+14.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -25.5 (-11.5) | 139.3 (+14.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -25.3 (-11.3) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#18) | -7.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#56) | -0.90 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#52) | -1.73 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#74) | 0.473 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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