Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SC -18.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -14.0 (-7.0) | 138.9 (-15.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -14.2 (-7.2) | 139.5 (-16.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -15.0 (-8.0) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -12.6 (-5.6) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#67) | -5.6 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#89) | -2.02 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#84) | -3.18 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#49) | 0.337 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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