The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.7 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona State @ Oregon State -2.3 146.4 40% 79–80 ✗
Siena @ Rider -5.7 140.4 24% 74–72 ✓
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +11.3 144.5 86% 84–99 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +4.4 150.4 70% 81–74 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State +9.1 132.6 80% 49–85 ✓
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.8 135.7 56% 80–63 ✗
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +10.8 148.3 86% 66–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ UT Rio Grande Valley +11.2 142.7 88% 65–72 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +8.2 155.8 82% 65–80 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -14.2 131.6 14% 70–53 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word -2.1 141.9 40% 83–65 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas +16.6 140.1 90% 67–82 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -4.7 132.7 29% 72–78 ✗
BYU @ San Francisco -0.2 142.4 47% 72–63 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +11.2 137.1 87% 53–84 ✓
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -6.4 127.4 24% 78–82 ✗
South Carolina @ LSU +11.2 155.9 86% 80–85 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +6.7 138.9 76% 78–72 ✗
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +0.9 137.7 49% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +4.2 144.3 67% 67–73 ✓
Washington State @ USC +15.9 138.5 90% 77–85 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -10.3 148.0 17% 73–59 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +1.2 143.1 55% 86–85 ✗
California @ Utah +11.2 134.8 86% 72–63 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +3.0 136.6 64% 83–72 ✗
Iowa @ Northwestern -6.2 161.9 28% 96–73 ✓
American University @ Navy +6.2 153.2 76% 59–71 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -6.3 140.6 26% 77–67 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +4.0 144.5 70% 72–80 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +23.0 153.0 91% 87–96 ✓
Army @ Boston University -6.2 142.1 29% 76–65 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +13.6 125.3 87% 60–88 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +3.5 133.6 66% 49–57 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware +0.2 133.4 52% 68–67 ✗
Northeastern @ Charleston -1.8 130.3 39% 68–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Drexel +9.6 135.9 85% 69–64 ✗
UCF @ Houston +11.7 130.0 86% 58–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +15.8 151.6 89% 89–79 ✗
New Hampshire @ Stony Brook +1.4 137.1 58% 67–64 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Marshall +5.9 149.1 71% 69–67 ✗
Massachusetts @ Fordham -12.2 144.6 16% 65–46 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa +4.5 128.6 69% 57–58 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State -0.5 130.3 46% 56–57 ✗
Indiana State @ Illinois State -5.7 138.2 30% 74–68 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +8.6 128.9 84% 55–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +9.5 137.2 84% 65–79 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +3.4 140.7 65% 77–61 ✗
Dayton @ George Washington -3.2 145.3 36% 67–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -5.5 134.6 30% 69–63 ✓
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -10.5 149.8 15% 83–79 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago +13.1 139.1 88% 46–88 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +1.9 137.0 62% 71–83 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest -3.5 139.9 35% 64–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +1.5 150.9 53% 72–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.