Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–14 on winners spread MAE 9.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
SMU @ North Texas -1.2 125.6 46% 66–68 ✗
William & Mary @ Hofstra +11.6 144.2 86% 55–64 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern -2.6 143.4 37% 77–54 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Delaware +12.2 147.4 85% 71–90 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +0.1 130.6 41% 67–70 ✓
Charleston @ Hampton -11.4 155.2 16% 107–86 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +9.6 134.4 79% 62–57 ✗
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast -1.9 146.6 42% 98–72 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner -2.0 123.6 40% 60–44 ✓
Stonehill @ Long Island University +3.4 136.6 72% 60–63 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis -5.1 141.4 27% 71–75 ✗
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -14.7 145.3 13% 78–50 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +0.5 163.1 58% 107–99 ✗
Oakland @ Green Bay -1.3 142.5 41% 59–69 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +2.2 151.1 56% 63–58 ✗
Bryant @ NJIT -7.8 144.5 21% 70–55 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +9.0 147.2 83% 73–79 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +10.0 151.8 83% 66–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ Eastern Kentucky +7.9 145.9 80% 59–75 ✓
Austin Peay @ Stetson +2.4 143.6 64% 82–83 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +11.3 135.7 84% 54–68 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Quinnipiac +5.2 147.5 76% 65–79 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +9.2 148.1 82% 66–80 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Stephen F. Austin -2.3 147.4 44% 53–51 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.7 140.9 27% 63–54 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee +12.5 153.7 87% 71–87 ✓
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +2.2 151.1 65% 67–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.5 140.7 81% 66–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +5.5 147.2 74% 73–70 ✗
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +6.8 152.1 78% 91–105 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +10.4 149.9 87% 58–84 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois +5.1 134.6 66% 59–68 ✓
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -1.6 144.4 46% 66–80 ✗
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +4.1 144.7 66% 60–82 ✓
Arizona State @ Oregon +6.0 144.0 73% 61–80 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +7.4 148.2 78% 72–77 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana -3.4 130.8 32% 73–68 ✓
South Dakota @ Denver +11.5 159.1 87% 110–111 ✓
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +3.9 140.0 67% 67–79 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -0.7 137.3 43% 70–62 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho +2.4 136.7 50% 75–60 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington +7.3 161.9 79% 74–77 ✓
Pepperdine @ Santa Clara +8.4 150.0 82% 71–94 ✓
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +9.6 146.9 84% 65–92 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Northridge +4.3 143.1 68% 64–56 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly -4.2 131.7 27% 54–51 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -4.1 146.7 28% 72–61 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego +10.1 138.9 84% 65–66 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -7.0 146.4 28% 46–72 ✗
Arizona @ Oregon State -17.4 151.9 15% 80–83 ✗
Pacific @ Saint Mary's +28.7 135.6 91% 28–76 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +1.7 136.5 56% 78–61 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana +6.1 150.7 75% 75–81 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +2.8 152.5 66% 71–64 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.