I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–16 on winners spread MAE 9.0 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
NC State @ Virginia +3.7 128.9 63% 53–59 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame -4.6 135.1 29% 73–61 ✓
South Florida @ Temple -2.4 140.1 38% 75–69 ✓
Murray State @ Bradley +10.4 140.4 85% 63–71 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -6.4 152.0 29% 78–67 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +4.3 140.9 70% 76–64 ✗
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -6.9 146.1 24% 78–59 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +6.3 145.0 69% 69–67 ✗
Army @ Boston University +5.0 124.6 58% 69–59 ✗
Holy Cross @ American University +10.9 138.9 82% 65–84 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +2.4 151.4 63% 71–68 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Louis -0.7 144.8 43% 84–61 ✓
George Washington @ Richmond +8.0 144.4 78% 74–82 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland -1.8 129.6 32% 70–44 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +1.9 134.6 56% 63–71 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford -0.6 149.8 39% 79–65 ✓
Samford @ Furman -1.9 161.0 43% 68–78 ✗
Mercer @ The Citadel +3.6 134.5 66% 66–68 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina +3.2 133.7 63% 85–82 ✗
Texas State @ Troy +7.9 141.2 78% 65–78 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -11.5 151.9 15% 78–62 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +0.5 149.4 57% 68–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Coastal Carolina -2.8 141.2 39% 79–63 ✓
North Alabama @ Kennesaw State +5.3 159.0 70% 90–84 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +5.6 155.0 76% 79–96 ✓
Auburn @ Alabama +4.8 155.9 71% 75–79 ✓
East Carolina @ Wichita State +4.4 139.3 67% 54–52 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee -4.9 124.3 34% 67–75 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Rice -11.9 151.2 15% 69–56 ✓
Tulane @ UTSA -6.8 167.4 39% 88–89 ✗
Indiana State @ UIC -11.0 147.5 20% 89–83 ✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois +11.4 134.2 85% 69–75 ✓
Drake @ Missouri State -8.2 142.7 24% 80–83 ✗
Villanova @ St. John's +3.5 143.1 71% 50–70 ✓
Mississippi State @ Florida +3.2 150.7 65% 70–79 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern -3.3 145.1 42% 91–96 ✗
Marquette @ DePaul -16.6 143.8 12% 86–73 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +11.0 137.0 85% 67–78 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss +6.7 149.6 78% 51–77 ✓
Utah @ Washington State -1.3 146.3 48% 57–79 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +1.2 141.4 60% 64–77 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -10.5 151.2 18% 95–75 ✓
Colorado @ Washington +0.3 152.5 52% 98–81 ✗
Elon @ Campbell +1.9 139.6 59% 68–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson -2.7 144.4 34% 76–60 ✓
UAlbany @ Maine +2.3 142.4 63% 73–81 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook -0.0 144.2 53% 65–72 ✗
Georgia Southern @ App State +17.9 140.2 89% 74–84 ✓
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +3.9 139.9 65% 72–65 ✗
North Florida @ Bellarmine -1.6 140.9 34% 71–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.