But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–11 on winners spread MAE 8.5 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ South Carolina -0.4 149.1 52% 62–79 ✗
Texas @ Oklahoma +6.5 141.0 73% 75–60 ✗
Duke @ Louisville -12.6 151.7 14% 83–69 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -3.7 142.5 36% 61–59 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech -1.5 140.5 50% 72–64 ✓
Florida State @ Syracuse +3.8 143.7 66% 85–69 ✗
West Virginia @ UCF +10.6 138.2 84% 59–72 ✓
UAB @ Charlotte +6.0 138.6 73% 70–76 ✓
Ohio State @ Nebraska +2.5 143.1 63% 69–83 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne +1.3 138.3 56% 50–54 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Massachusetts +3.3 149.6 65% 78–77 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ VCU +5.2 135.9 66% 67–74 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo -3.3 141.4 33% 87–59 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green +2.2 150.1 63% 90–84 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan -0.1 139.9 49% 55–71 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +6.3 142.5 77% 56–73 ✓
Ohio @ Akron +10.6 146.2 84% 58–67 ✓
Evansville @ Northern Iowa +11.3 141.4 85% 63–70 ✓
Belmont @ Illinois State -0.2 140.4 44% 67–77 ✗
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -2.9 153.8 34% 89–73 ✓
Xavier @ Creighton +7.6 146.9 81% 78–85 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue +17.0 155.9 89% 67–99 ✓
Houston @ BYU +1.0 131.7 53% 75–68 ✗
San Diego @ Portland +0.3 151.2 52% 85–81 ✗
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +6.0 147.9 72% 71–76 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +14.3 144.7 88% 65–81 ✓
Missouri @ Texas A&M +10.6 142.1 82% 57–63 ✓
TCU @ Oklahoma State -6.5 145.3 29% 74–69 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -10.8 134.7 19% 72–68 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +11.4 138.6 86% 90–58 ✗
East Tennessee State @ VMI -8.6 147.2 17% 74–73 ✓
Radford @ UNC Asheville +4.2 146.1 69% 69–81 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall +2.2 141.1 63% 67–63 ✗
LSU @ Georgia +3.7 148.7 69% 66–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.