I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
16–1 on winners spread MAE 6.1 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ North Carolina +10.1 152.8 84% 64–85 ✓
Lehigh @ Colgate +9.4 141.6 79% 57–60 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +5.3 135.5 64% 62–71 ✓
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -5.6 140.4 27% 62–61 ✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word -3.5 148.2 30% 78–74 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Lamar +5.2 143.2 74% 65–76 ✓
New Orleans @ Houston Christian +1.2 151.9 63% 80–88 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State -0.6 142.2 51% 78–90 ✗
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -6.3 131.9 20% 81–70 ✓
Cincinnati @ Kansas +5.2 143.0 73% 69–74 ✓
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -1.9 141.3 46% 80–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ Jackson State +3.5 135.1 65% 64–73 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +2.6 146.8 67% 62–77 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +4.3 137.6 65% 70–77 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +0.0 161.2 53% 72–76 ✓
Dayton @ La Salle -11.5 140.9 17% 66–54 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown -5.0 148.6 36% 90–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.