I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
39–14 on winners spread MAE 8.2 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Omaha @ South Dakota State +21.8 162.1 90% 79–87 ✓
Jacksonville @ Jacksonville State +5.4 131.3 65% 54–51 ✗
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +2.3 149.5 63% 72–73 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +12.6 153.4 86% 75–97 ✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +7.5 136.8 81% 56–61 ✓
Brown @ Yale +6.1 144.0 74% 65–74 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington +8.9 150.7 84% 67–78 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner +8.5 152.8 82% 62–82 ✓
Southern Utah @ Weber State +2.5 153.3 66% 80–70 ✗
McNeese @ Houston Christian +0.1 150.8 45% 144–149 ✓
Utah Tech @ Grand Canyon +14.4 138.7 88% 53–70 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley -9.4 151.1 19% 93–63 ✓
Morehead State @ Murray State +6.5 134.5 75% 67–71 ✓
Georgia Southern @ App State +4.1 130.5 68% 60–73 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford -0.3 136.6 52% 64–66 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +8.7 143.1 82% 77–78 ✓
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M +3.9 138.7 73% 64–67 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State +3.5 138.0 73% 68–71 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton +4.1 138.7 69% 59–62 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +4.2 161.2 74% 77–85 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +6.7 136.9 75% 72–71 ✗
Utah Valley @ New Mexico State +6.1 136.2 75% 46–62 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State +6.6 144.5 77% 62–82 ✓
Colorado @ Utah +0.2 140.6 44% 84–71 ✗
USC @ UCLA +10.1 145.9 84% 68–75 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -6.6 131.8 24% 84–62 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -0.1 137.0 49% 76–80 ✗
BYU @ San Francisco +2.7 145.6 61% 63–75 ✓
San Diego State @ Nevada -5.2 135.3 32% 79–78 ✓
UNLV @ New Mexico -2.6 149.1 36% 67–76 ✗
Portland @ Santa Clara +6.2 156.0 74% 67–91 ✓
Houston @ Memphis -1.7 142.2 48% 61–75 ✗
Northeastern @ Towson +11.3 133.6 85% 61–68 ✓
Winthrop @ Longwood +0.2 145.1 46% 58–79 ✓
Penn State @ Rutgers +4.5 131.0 67% 58–59 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State +4.2 150.3 74% 75–69 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +2.6 146.4 70% 85–93 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +4.9 132.2 71% 72–69 ✗
Nebraska @ Wisconsin +13.2 148.8 87% 74–73 ✗
NJIT @ Vermont +19.7 135.2 91% 59–98 ✓
UAlbany @ Hartford +1.9 138.6 62% 49–61 ✓
Lehigh @ Colgate +12.1 147.2 88% 61–81 ✓
UCF @ Tulsa -2.5 138.0 39% 72–73 ✗
South Florida @ Temple +8.8 131.9 82% 47–75 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Drake -4.4 132.1 30% 64–58 ✓
Delaware @ Drexel +0.2 141.6 48% 66–56 ✗
Tulane @ SMU +6.4 147.2 79% 68–74 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +4.0 132.2 73% 80–85 ✓
Wofford @ Chattanooga +2.6 135.2 63% 56–79 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan State +5.6 146.6 73% 67–77 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +3.0 137.8 68% 58–75 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +0.3 137.0 50% 66–57 ✗
Samford @ Furman +6.5 150.4 76% 68–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.