Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -8.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -7.6 (-8.6) | 134.7 (+8.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.3 (-8.3) | 136.2 (+6.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -6.7 (-7.7) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -6.9 (-7.9) | 137.9 (+5.1) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | MONT 81 – 73 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SAC 86 – 79 MONT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MONT 60 – 54 SAC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONT 87 – 59 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MONT 68 – 61 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#243) | -10.1 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#212) | -1.73 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#209) | -1.77 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#225) | 0.421 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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