Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -3.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.6 (-9.6) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.4 (-10.4) | 148.8 (-4.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -4.2 (-10.2) | 150.3 (-6.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -4.3 (-10.3) | 147.6 (-3.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#24) | 11.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#27) | 1.89 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#29) | 2.41 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#28) | 0.577 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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