And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · March 6, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -5.5 Away covered
O/U 126.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +1 117 Won
Massey RUTG -3.9 (-2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 120.9 (-3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -4.3 (-3.3) 129.2 (-12.2) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -4.2 (-3.2) 129.8 (-12.8) 67% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -4.5 (-3.5) 131.0 (-14.0) 67% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -4.1 (-3.1) 129.4 (-12.4) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 RUTG 74 – 62 PSU
Feb 18, 2026 RUTG 85 – 72 PSU
Jan 20, 2025 PSU 80 – 72 RUTG
Dec 11, 2024 RUTG 80 – 76 PSU
Feb 1, 2024 PSU 61 – 46 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG PSU
Overall 18-14 14-17
Conference 12-8 7-13
Home 14-3 10-5
Away 4-9 1-10
Neutral 0-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 64.6
Avg Pts Against 66.5 65.0
Massey 7.4 (#80) 6.3 (#91)
Bradley-Terry 1.72 (#51) 0.99 (#101)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.31 (#46) 1.27 (#96)
RPI 0.537 (#107) 0.516 (#146)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG PSU
FG% 44.3% 43.6%
3PT% 33.7% 34.6%
REB / G 35.9 35.5
OREB / G 10.3 9.3
AST / TO 1.27 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 51.0%
TOV% 17.8% 19.2%
ORB% 29.8% 28.6%
FT Rate 19.0% 15.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 13.9%
DRB% 73.4% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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