Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -140 WOF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +23 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -2.7 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -2.4 (+20.6) | 131.8 (+3.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -2.3 (+20.7) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -2.6 (+20.4) | 135.2 (-0.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.1 (+20.9) | 133.8 (+1.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#85) | 4.1 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#61) | 0.56 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#77) | 0.69 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#26) | 0.516 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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