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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Dakota
@
Kansas City
|
-0.2 | 145.3 | 47% | 74–61 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Illinois
|
+2.6 | 155.7 | 65% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Northwestern
|
+5.1 | 139.2 | 71% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Charleston
@
Hofstra
|
+3.1 | 158.3 | 63% | 92–76 | ✗ |
Georgia State
@
App State
|
+0.0 | 128.7 | 49% | 71–66 | ✗ |
Western Illinois
@
Oral Roberts
|
+3.3 | 161.1 | 65% | 68–80 | ✓ |
Delaware
@
Towson
|
+6.3 | 140.0 | 75% | 69–56 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.