Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -180 COFC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +16 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -2.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.5 (-18.5) | 153.5 (+14.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -3.7 (-19.7) | 160.2 (+7.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.1 (-19.1) | 158.3 (+9.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -3.4 (-19.4) | 157.0 (+11.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#117) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#92) | 0.22 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#104) | 0.18 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#51) | 0.507 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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