Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | NU -320 MINN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NU -5.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -5.8 (+7.2) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.5 (+7.5) | 140.0 (-3.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -5.1 (+7.9) | 139.2 (-2.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -5.7 (+7.3) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#72) | 4.9 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#106) | 1.11 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#97) | 1.34 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.528 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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