You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–3 on winners spread MAE 8.8 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +8.1 155.8 81% 60–83 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +0.4 148.6 49% 82–67 ✗
Louisiana @ Georgia State +0.7 136.2 53% 71–80 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +0.5 143.3 52% 63–64 ✓
Charleston @ UNC Wilmington -1.5 151.8 43% 57–60 ✗
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +8.7 152.6 79% 71–81 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State -0.4 153.2 52% 72–92 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -1.0 137.1 47% 57–43 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +4.8 141.0 68% 72–75 ✓
Boston College @ Pittsburgh -2.5 132.2 35% 66–46 ✓
NC State @ Clemson +5.7 144.6 75% 64–70 ✓
Rider @ Manhattan -0.5 138.8 49% 79–67 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +0.4 128.7 46% 72–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.