Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -0.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -1.9 (+3.1) | 129.0 (+20.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -0.9 (+4.1) | 129.6 (+19.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -0.4 (+4.6) | 128.7 (+20.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -0.2 (+4.8) | 129.7 (+19.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BELL 82 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 23, 2026 | BELL 77 – 70 JAX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | JAX 73 – 64 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2025 | JAX 74 – 59 BELL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BELL 69 – 63 JAX |
Game Analysis
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