Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -0.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -0.0 (+1.0) | 140.9 (-13.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.4 (+0.6) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.5 (+0.5) | 143.3 (-16.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.1 (+0.9) | 140.3 (-13.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#79) | 7.5 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#60) | 1.03 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#69) | 1.23 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#23) | 0.564 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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