Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +12 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -0.8 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.6 (-11.4) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -0.1 (-11.9) | 138.1 (+7.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.5 (-11.5) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.1 (-11.9) | 139.6 (+6.4) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MAN 95 – 90 RID |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MAN 74 – 71 RID |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MAN 80 – 79 RID |
| Feb 18, 2024 | RID 104 – 62 MAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | RID 71 – 58 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#266) | -5.0 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#207) | -0.90 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#226) | -1.08 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#240) | 0.447 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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