We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Clemson Tigers
70 – 64
FINAL Neutral Conference New York Life ACC
NC State Wolfpack
Atlantic Coast Conference · Barclays Center (Neutral) · March 8, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 143.0 Under
Money CLEM -215 / NCSU +185
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +6 134 Won
Massey CLEM -5.7 (+0.3) — —
Massey Totals — 147.4 (-13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLEM -4.3 (+1.7) 141.2 (-7.2) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -5.6 (+0.4) 145.6 (-11.6) 73% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -5.7 (+0.3) 144.6 (-10.6) 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -5.5 (+0.5) 144.5 (-10.5) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 NCSU 80 – 76 CLEM
Feb 1, 2025 CLEM 68 – 58 NCSU
Feb 18, 2024 NCSU 78 – 77 CLEM
Mar 10, 2023 CLEM 80 – 54 NCSU
Feb 25, 2023 CLEM 96 – 71 NCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM NCSU
Overall 17-16 11-21
Conference 8-12 4-16
Home 11-5 7-10
Away 3-8 3-7
Neutral 3-3 1-4
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 71.7 73.0
Avg Pts Against 68.5 75.6
Massey 7.4 (#78) 1.8 (#138)
Bradley-Terry 0.93 (#106) -0.11 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.39 (#90) 0.15 (#165)
RPI 0.523 (#132) 0.474 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM NCSU
FG% 45.7% 41.5%
3PT% 36.7% 34.6%
REB / G 34.5 34.6
OREB / G 8.5 11.8
AST / TO 1.28 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 48.3%
TOV% 16.7% 14.7%
ORB% 26.1% 30.5%
FT Rate 22.0% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 53.7%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 18.5%
DRB% 75.8% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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