Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -200 SCU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -5.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -4.4 (-1.4) | 139.2 (+7.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -4.6 (-1.6) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -4.8 (-1.8) | 141.0 (+6.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -4.0 (-1.0) | 140.0 (+7.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#21) | 8.1 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#18) | 1.46 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#20) | 1.84 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#4) | 0.553 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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