Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Towson Tigers
56 – 69
FINAL Neutral Conference CAA
Delaware Blue Hens
Coastal Athletic Association · CareFirst Arena (Neutral) · March 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TOW -5.0 Away covered
O/U 137.0 Under
Money TOW -230 / DEL +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total TOW win
Actual DEL +13 125 Lost
Massey TOW -6.7 (-19.7) — —
Massey Totals — 132.4 (-7.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TOW -5.4 (-18.4) 134.7 (-9.7) 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML TOW -6.4 (-19.4) 138.6 (-13.6) 75% ✗
Baseline ML TOW -6.3 (-19.3) 140.0 (-15.0) 75% ✗
Baseline Plus ML TOW -6.2 (-19.2) 136.2 (-11.2) 76% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2025 DEL 82 – 72 TOW
Feb 14, 2025 TOW 75 – 70 DEL
Jan 30, 2025 TOW 76 – 66 DEL
Feb 9, 2024 DEL 74 – 62 TOW
Jan 27, 2024 TOW 67 – 56 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TOW DEL
Overall 25-9 22-13
Conference 15-3 10-8
Home 12-2 9-5
Away 11-5 8-5
Neutral 2-2 5-3
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 70.7
Avg Pts Against 62.4 68.6
Massey 7.6 (#77) 0.9 (#148)
Bradley-Terry 1.50 (#66) 0.54 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.78 (#74) 0.49 (#138)
RPI 0.569 (#57) 0.537 (#104)
Shooting & Four Factors TOW DEL
FG% 45.5% 47.3%
3PT% 36.5% 35.7%
REB / G 35.9 31.2
OREB / G 11.7 8.1
AST / TO 1.15 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 54.1%
TOV% 18.0% 18.4%
ORB% 36.1% 26.4%
FT Rate 24.2% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 18.5%
DRB% 73.4% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.7% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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